Monday, December 29, 2014

Libya is Now a Failed State

Ever since the fall of  Muammar Qaddafi, Libya is now in a state of chronic lawlessness. Ethnic conflict, civil war, and general disorder are prevalent in Libyan society. This disorder was engineered by Western powers and the United Nations for geopolitical interests. However, The UK, France, and US did not expect conquest of the country to be difficult. The West intentionally armed radical political Islamist groups and militias, thinking they could be controlled. This same model of intervention was used in Afghanistan and Syria and has produced negative results. As a result of this intervention, Libya will disintegrate into three different countries. 
      Currently, elements of Al-Qaeda and Ansar Al Sharia are active in Libya. They have become so powerful that even the internationally recognized government cannot stop them. Their goal is to establish an Islamic State in Libya that adheres to a strict form of sharia law. Most of the members are not even Libyans, but foreigners from other countries. Terrorists who traveled extensively are seeking to foment rebellion across Africa. US interventions are now a magnet for extremists. Where ever the US goes terrorism will follow. Now, the Libyan population faces the worst brutality it has seen since the Italian invasion. Law enforcement is non-existent. Stability has replaced with the sound of gunfire. 
       Libya does not have an adequate national army. The former soldiers of Qaddafi refuse to fight on the behalf of a puppet government. This only harms the country further, because they are experienced soldiers. Ever since 2011, there has been a multitude of militias emerging. This includes the Misrata Brigades, the Al-Zintan Revolutionaries Council, the Al-Qaqa Brigade, the Al-Sawaqi Brigade, the Libyan National Army and the Martyrs  Brigade. These groups have no intention of peace or reconciliation. Their goal is to gain power, no matter the cost. A brutal civil war has been going on since the assassination of Qaddafi and the UN remains silent. The reason is that Libya was the United Nations worst mistake of the 21st century. UN Resolution 1973 authorized the bombing of Libya under the concept of responsibility to protect. This produced a human rights disaster, which will not be corrected anytime soon. 
        Libya not only has to manage internal disorder, but external threats. The United Arab Emirates has conducted airstrikes in Libya. The UAE continues to deny this, but the prove otherwise. The Gulf States sided with the rebels during the 2011 civil war. Saudi Arabia and Qatar provided arms to the rebellion in Benghazi . This is not unusual seeing as Gulf monarchies are the enemies of Pan-Arab nationalist states. Most of the time they will side with US foreign policy interests in the region. Now, the Gulf monarchies are seeking to extent their influence in  North Africa. Ultimately this means Libya's sovereignty will not only be violated by the West, but their Arab allies. The reason for this is to stop alternative governance systems developing in the region. An alternative model of government would mean the end of the Gulf monarchies. 
           Libya no longer sees its self as one country. Cyrenaica province attempted to declare independence in 2013. Regional and ethnic division became more pronounced after the NATO invasion. Reports of ethnic cleansing have emerged. Tawergha a staunchly pro-Qaddafi town was reduced to rubble. Tuaregs  and ethnic groups with a dark complexion were targeted for death. There was ethnic conflict with the Tebu before the war. Around 2008 the Tebu were in full revolt for greater autonomy. When the war broke out the situation deteriorated rapidly. Non-Arab Libyans were now being detained for long periods and driven from their homes. This had another repercussion. Tuaregs fled Libya with armaments to Mali to continue the fight for liberation there. The Azawad insurgency caused the collapse of the government. Libya now parallels Myanmar in terms of ethnic conflict. 
       Libya has a weak government, internal disorder, and limited security. It fails to function as it once did.Now it has become what Somalia is today dangerous and erratic. The West will suffer the consequences for its actions. Gradually, the flow of immigration has increased from the NATO war. Europe has no choice, cut to accept these people fleeing from war and terrorism. After all, this chaos was the result of America, French, and British intervention. Another concern is another base for radical political Islamism. While Iraq is under siege by ISIS it is possible that Libya could become another front, if not already.  

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