Ethiopia is facing a mass armed insurgency. A collection of armed groups are now seeking to overthrow the government. The TPLF appears to have convinced the Oromo Liberation Army, the Amhara Fano National Movement, the Ogaden National Liberation Front, Afar Revolutionary Democratic Unity Front, and the Benishangul Peoples' Liberation movement to be part of an alliance. Gumuz Peoples' Democratic Movement also is fighting with other groups for this coalition. The new alliance is referred to as the Ethiopian Peoples' Alliance for Survival. Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's ambitions of getting greater Red Sea access and the construction of the Ethiopian Grand Renaissance Dam also caused tensions with neighboring states. Egypt could not stop the construction of the dam and wants to see other Ethiopian projects halted. The Blue Nile is an area in which Ethiopia can attain greater hydroelectric power. Egypt acts as if it owns all the Nile River, when it crosses between borders. Eritrea has been accused of arming the TPLF. Sudan is aligned with Egypt. Ethiopia has accused Egypt, Sudan, and Eritrea for the increase in rebel insurgency. A weakened Ethiopia would benefit those three countries. Sudan's might not have an extensive role in the violence considering its fight with the RSF. The internal insurgency could spread into other East African countries. Even if the TPLF is deposes the government, ethnic hatreds would prevent a peaceful transition. Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed was democratically elected in 2021. The TPLF know they could not win a national election and decided to use violence to get power. The Prosperity Party is not Derg. Attempts to mold public opinion to the sentiment can be challenged with basic facts. The TPLF want regime change and they are using other armed groups to do so. The TPLF does not want a multi-party democratic government, rather a one party state.





