Thursday, February 28, 2019

India and Pakistan Tensions

Kashmir has been a source of tension between India and Pakistan for nearly 70 years. The conflict between India and Pakistan has been ongoing since the end of British imperial rule. There could be a possibility of another Indo-Pakistani war ever since a terrorist attack occurred in Indian occupied Kashmir. Kashmir clearly has become more enraged by the occupation of two countries, which to the perspective of the general public has not been an improvement to the region. Although there are accusations that Pakistan encouraged violence, there may be a growing indigenous rebellion against the administration by both Pakistan and India. This explains why Jammat -e- Ismali has been deemed as an "unlawful" association by the Indian government. There are plans to have a crackdown of the organization's activities by Narendra Modi's  new policies. Prime Minister Imran Khan has stated that the claims that Pakistan coordinated in Kashmir as false. Prime Minister Narendra Modi then responded that India would retaliate. The attack was allegedly carried out by Jaish -e- Muhammad. Founded in the year 2000, the goal of the JeM is to unite Indian occupied Kashmir with Pakistan. Ever since, there have been incidents linked to what has been considered a terrorist organization. If tensions continue, there could be another large South Asia war between India and Pakistan. What complicates matters is that both nations have nuclear weapons capability. China also may find itself being caught in the conflict seeing as it has favored Pakistan in its foreign policy and occupies Aksai Chin. Another Indo-Pakistani war  would cause problems in the maintenance and development of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. Such a conflict may be similar to the result of the Indo-Pakistani  War of 1971. Bangladesh became independent and India became the most powerful country in South Asia. Pakistan may emerge as the victor in a new conflict with Kashmir gaining independence. Or Kashmir could be annexed into Pakistan. A new war could have devastating political and economic consequences. China and the EU have attempted mediation efforts, but the crisis has no sign of ending.   

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