Somalia faces being a failed state and foreign nations are now recognizing break away regions. Israel decided to recognize Somaliland as an independent state. Turkey condemned the action and expressed support for the Somalian government. Israel is not just seeking to expand in West Asia, but also have a presence in Africa. Having an African ally close to the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden would be useful. Mainly, the military objective would be to target Houthi rebels using Somaliland as a launching site. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud articulated that Israel's motives are connected to the war in Gaza. President Mohamud implied that Israel intends to use the territory for refugees. Somaliland would effectively become a puppet state of Israel. The majority of the world does not recognize Somaliland as an independent state. Somaliland under these conditions would have to accept the Abraham Accords. Sudan and Morocco are the only African states that signed the agreements. The African Union has failed to take a forceful position against Israeli interference on the African continent. Israel's attempt to establish bases in the Horn of Africa will destabilize the region. Support for terrorist organizations could increase. Other armed groups could emerge to stop the infiltration of the Zionist state. Somalia is under attack from external enemies and domestic challenges. North African states are going to have more of a negative reaction to Israeli diplomatic shifts. Somalia should consider recognizing a Palestinian state to counter attempts of balkanization.
