Wednesday, April 17, 2019

The Uganda and Rwanda Tension


Ugandan and Rwandan relations have reached a nadir. Border disputes and power shifts are occurring in eastern and central parts of Africa. What is happening now is a closed border with Uganda. This sudden change in behavior in the last few weeks seems peculiar seeing as both leaders of this countries have collaborated since the 1980s. Paul Kagame was given assistance by Yoweri Musevenei  in the early years of his presidency.  Travel bans have been imposed and it appears that this may escalate into a larger conflict. Both countries have accused each other of supporting rebel factions and various armed groups. There are also accusations of both countries accusing each other of espionage. Armed conflict whether it is a civil war or war between nations could have devastating effects. The Seleka rebels in the African Central Republic and the M23 rebels demonstrated how easily certain states can become unstable. The risk to the civilian population becomes even greater when refugees attempt to flee war zones. The dreams of economic cooperation are being destroyed by two longtime leaders. This tension may not be about conflict between two countries or different ethnic groups. It may be a means for both Kagame and Musevenei to justify extending their rule. Other countries and armed groups provide a perfect scapegoat for increasing government power under the context of  national security. The fall of Omar Al-Bashir and Adelaziz Bouteflika has most likely made other African leaders fearful of sudden insurrection or popular protests. For now, it is in the best interest of Kampala and Kigali to reestablish peaceful diplomatic ties. The African Union may have to be more proactive in a mediation process between the two countries.   

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