Renewed Escalation In The Syrian Civil War

 

The Syrian Civil War has been fought for 13 years. Now there is a renewed escalation. The conflict has morphed into a war of proxy, with multiple countries arming terrorists organizations. Armed groups like the Free Syria Army and the Syrian  Democratic Forces  were prominent during the 2010s. ISIS operated between the borders of Iraq and Syria. The country is going through a balkanization process similar to Yugoslavia during the 1990s. Turkey, the United States, and the UAE are providing weapons to these armed groups and terrorist organizations. The sudden resurgence is connected to Israel's aggression in both Gaza and Lebanon. Israel conducted a number of airstrikes in Syria during the long civil war. Removing the Assad government would weaken Hezbollah and Iran. The Syrian Civil War now has transformed into a regime change operation. The Al-Nusra Front  has  done rebrand of its organization. Although still terrorists, they  are no longer collaborating with al-Qaeda. The new name of the terrorist organization Hayat Tahrir al-Sham. Now Hayat Tahrir al-Sham seeks to establish a theocratic government. The last Baathist government in the Middle East is facing threats from old rivals and recent ones. The Gulf monarchies and radical political Islamism are two major enemies to the Bashar Al-Assad presidency. If the Bashar Al-Assad government falls that means Syrian refugees will either go to Europe or Turkey. Israel could use the opportunity to take more territory. Russia and Iran are going to intervene on the behalf of Syria. Russia's war in Ukraine remains a priority, but Syria is a place in which the UK, US, France, and Germany can be undermined. Iran realizes that it is in a state of war with Israel and that Syria is too important to lose. The rebels have taken Aleppo and continue to push further south. If the Baathist government loses Damascus, the war to keep Syria whole is lost.