Constantly there is news of war. The US and its Gulf kingdom allies are at war with an organization know as the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria. Ukraine is gradually going through a balkanization while simultaneously facing external interference from the EU, United States, and Russia. Syria seems to have this same problem. It faces a civil war and the possibility of invasion from the West. Japan is pursuing a policy of militarization using China as an excuse for the abandonment of pacifism. Sudan could could further disintegrate into more countries with hostilities continuing in South Sudan. There are a multitude of small scale conflicts that are escalating into international ones. Major world powers are in competition for resources and political influence. The United States, Russia, China, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, and Germany risk creating one massive international war. This could be on the scale of either World War I or World War II. Various countries will be fighting each other in multiple theaters of the world.
Iraq has been unstable for twelve years. The United States invaded the country in 2003 causing regional instability. Shiite and Sunni militias emerged to fight Americans as well as each other. Kurds were asserting themselves and the desire for independence grew. The development of the Arab Spring allowed radical political Islamists to increase their power. ISIS is the out growth of a failed attempt to depose Bashar Al-Assad. When the Islamist forces were being pushed back, they went to Iraq. There they could regroup and create bases. The US just like they did in Afghanistan fostered the creation of multiple armed groups. Realizing this is a potential threat, the Gulf monarchies are now involved in military action against Iraq. However, it is not just Iraq that will be victim to attack. Yemen is now under siege due to the Houthi rebel take over. Sunni Gulf monarchies are more concerned with Iranian influence and power growing in the region. Iraq has become a battle ground between Iran and Saudi Arabia. This will bring the western powers into the conflict, because a majority of Gulf state monarchies are their allies.
The current status indicates that small scale wars are escalating into major confrontations. The Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific are becoming danger zones threatened with intervention from the West.
It appears that will experience a Yugoslavia type of collapse. This will later be used as a justification for the US, UK, Germany, Italy, and France to intervene on the basis of "humanitarian intervention."
Syria also could be that catalyst for an even wider war. At the moment relations between the West and Russia have reached at nadir. Russia refused to participate in an attempt to remove the Baathist regime in Syria. Realizing that UN Resolution 1973 was a mistake for Libya, Russia refused to take a passive role when confronting Western aggression. Syria is Russia's most important ally in the Middle East. Russia has constantly proposed a diplomatic solution to the Syrian Civil war. The US does not want this to happen, because the goal is a compliant government responsive to American foreign policy. America's objective is to weaken or destroy regimes that stop advancing economic and political interests. The most important objectives are the acquisition of oil, the presence of military bases, and the support of Israel. Bashar Al Assad opposes the US and Israel's foreign policy objectives. Any state that shows true independence must be eliminated. US attempts at removing Assad have caused dangerous amounts of contention with Russia. Russia understands that the collapse of Syria could result in an even more chaotic Middle East. John Kerry, US secretary of state has made it clear that Assad should not be allowed to stay in power. Now the US and the EU are in conflict indirectly over Syria. The results of this are becoming more precarious in regards to Ukraine.
The West vexed at the fact Russia was not compliant with their Syria policy, decided to seek revenge by imposing sanctions due to the Ukrainian crisis. Former president Vickor Yanukovych was deposed by street protest. The groups consisted of right-wing political factions, western sponsored EU supporters, and domestic opposition. The country is not split between east and west causing armed conflict. The United States has exacerbated the situation by recognizing a government that came to power by extralegal means. This has caught Russian attention as it continues to support Russian militias in the eastern regions. The US and EU are now using this as an excuse for NATO expansion. There is a massive military build-up in Eastern Europe and the Baltic. Relations with Russia have reached a dismal state. Considering how economically Russia and the West are dependent on one another this could be potentially catastrophic. The risk of a European war is even more disturbing. At the root of these actions is the desire to control the Eurasian landmass. Having unrestricted access to oil and natural gas would make a nation powerful. Ukraine is a convenient internal crisis used by the West to further geopolitical ambitions.
Sudan has also caught the wrath of the West. South Sudan and Sudan have never fully reconciled their differences.South Sudan became independent in 2011, but it created even more problems. The ethnic conflict between Neur and Dinka will result in civil war. When vice president Riek Machar was removed for allegedly attempting to mount a coup, South Sudan descended into conflict. Salva Kirr who has been president since independence stated under current conditions elections will not be held. The instability has attracted international intervention. The UN claims it is there for refugee relief, but it is advancing the cause of re-colonization and regime change. The West seeks the removal of Omar al-Bashir. There is even an ICC warrant issued for his arrest. The West has no concern for human rights or the people of Sudan. The real treasure is Sudan's oil resources. The US and EU countries want to see a subordinate government that will give western oil companies access to their reserves. However, China seeks to maintain diplomatic relations with both Sudan and South Sudan. The West only favors Salva Kiir's regime even though it has similar violations of human rights. Sudan represents the indirect conflict between the West and China for control of major oil reserves.
Japan is buttressing its military. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's justification for this is that China is a growing threat. While China is becoming a more powerful country, it is not the threat. The challenge is the West encouraging Japan to be hostile to China. President Barack Obama's Asia pivot policy is not intended to be peaceful. More US soldiers are being deployed to Australia. The US naval presence has grown larger. The official position is that it is for regional security. The reality is that it is designed to threaten China with military strikes. The United States will never allow any other country to be equal in terms of military or economic power. The acceptance of Prime Minister Abe's policy of militarization advances western plans. Arming Japan would basically squeeze China and halt their progression in the Asia-Pacific region. The issues surrounding the South China Sea and territorial claims further complicate matters. One provocation can induce regional conflict and then spiral into a larger one. China also continues to maintain more favorable relations with Russia. Unlike the West, China intends to collaborate on political and economic challenges. This is irksome to the West, because it could possible reduce the impact of the sanctions.
The world has transformed into two hostile rival alliance systems. The one that seeks domination of most the global power is the US and EU block. The response to this resulted in a Russia and China block opposed to western international intervention. War is not just driven by nationalism, racial or national hatreds, but by resources. Fossil fuels are not infinite. World powers at this very moment are competing across the globe to obtain the most. More violence will follow when clean drinking water becomes limited. The only solution is skillful diplomacy and collaboration on particular international problems. Nations must learn to respect one another and understand alternative perspectives. The current zeitgeist of imposing liberal democracy on the world is a major miscalculation. Attempts have resulted in death, disorder, and human misery. Western political models may work for the US and European countries, but not in Africa, South America, or Asia . If the West continues down this path of humanitarian intervention mass global conflict will be unavoidable.
Sudan has also caught the wrath of the West. South Sudan and Sudan have never fully reconciled their differences.South Sudan became independent in 2011, but it created even more problems. The ethnic conflict between Neur and Dinka will result in civil war. When vice president Riek Machar was removed for allegedly attempting to mount a coup, South Sudan descended into conflict. Salva Kirr who has been president since independence stated under current conditions elections will not be held. The instability has attracted international intervention. The UN claims it is there for refugee relief, but it is advancing the cause of re-colonization and regime change. The West seeks the removal of Omar al-Bashir. There is even an ICC warrant issued for his arrest. The West has no concern for human rights or the people of Sudan. The real treasure is Sudan's oil resources. The US and EU countries want to see a subordinate government that will give western oil companies access to their reserves. However, China seeks to maintain diplomatic relations with both Sudan and South Sudan. The West only favors Salva Kiir's regime even though it has similar violations of human rights. Sudan represents the indirect conflict between the West and China for control of major oil reserves.
Japan is buttressing its military. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's justification for this is that China is a growing threat. While China is becoming a more powerful country, it is not the threat. The challenge is the West encouraging Japan to be hostile to China. President Barack Obama's Asia pivot policy is not intended to be peaceful. More US soldiers are being deployed to Australia. The US naval presence has grown larger. The official position is that it is for regional security. The reality is that it is designed to threaten China with military strikes. The United States will never allow any other country to be equal in terms of military or economic power. The acceptance of Prime Minister Abe's policy of militarization advances western plans. Arming Japan would basically squeeze China and halt their progression in the Asia-Pacific region. The issues surrounding the South China Sea and territorial claims further complicate matters. One provocation can induce regional conflict and then spiral into a larger one. China also continues to maintain more favorable relations with Russia. Unlike the West, China intends to collaborate on political and economic challenges. This is irksome to the West, because it could possible reduce the impact of the sanctions.
The world has transformed into two hostile rival alliance systems. The one that seeks domination of most the global power is the US and EU block. The response to this resulted in a Russia and China block opposed to western international intervention. War is not just driven by nationalism, racial or national hatreds, but by resources. Fossil fuels are not infinite. World powers at this very moment are competing across the globe to obtain the most. More violence will follow when clean drinking water becomes limited. The only solution is skillful diplomacy and collaboration on particular international problems. Nations must learn to respect one another and understand alternative perspectives. The current zeitgeist of imposing liberal democracy on the world is a major miscalculation. Attempts have resulted in death, disorder, and human misery. Western political models may work for the US and European countries, but not in Africa, South America, or Asia . If the West continues down this path of humanitarian intervention mass global conflict will be unavoidable.
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